Like tree rings, their layers record the region’s rainfall history. They also carry a warning about the potential for multiyear droughts in the future.
High exports driven by demand from China led to shortage in country, where broken rice is used to make ethanol & as cattle feed. Lower & delayed planting likely to hit production too.
The intense rain was brought about by rapid global warming & localised weather pattern. But experts say reason for floods is lack of drainage & infrastructure, not intensity of rain.
IMD data shows east, northeast India had 18% rainfall deficit between 1 June and 10 August. But central and southern regions saw excess of 24% and 28%, respectively.
In 5 east UP districts, where rice is primary rain-fed crop, the overwhelming sentiment is despair. For most, planting has been delayed by over a month, which means a drop in yield.
The second half of the southwest monsoon is expected to be ‘normal’ for the country as a whole, but regional variations will persist, Indian Meteorological Department predicts.
According to govt data, the area under paddy cultivation is lagging by 3.7 million hectares compared to last year in states like West Bengal, UP, Bihar, Jharkhand, Telangana, Chhattisgarh & Odisha.
Experts agree that these weather patterns are the result of a combination of internal variability, an unusually long La Nina period, and climate change.
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